Predictions, News & Model Insights
New predictions and a news & results roundup every night — plus what the data says and how the model thinks.
News · Oct 5Soccer News Roundup: Ronaldo's Portugal Door, Haaland Scare, Man City Beat Arsenal & Transfer Talk
The biggest soccer news of the weekend: England's 7-0 win in Croatia, the Ronaldo Portugal question, Haaland limping off, the Ireland–Israel row, Man City's WSL win over Arsenal, Barcelona's seven past Real Madrid and the latest transfer talk.
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Predictions · Oct 5Soccer Predictions for Monday & Tuesday (Oct 5–6, 2026): Nations League First-Half Goals & Best Bets
Model predictions for October 5–6: first-half goal ratings for France v Belgium, Italy v Türkiye, England v Czechia, Croatia v Spain and every Nations League game, plus our top club picks and match winners.
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International football · Oct 5October International Break 2026: Nations League Results, Talking Points & What the Data Says
Every UEFA Nations League result from the October 2026 international break, the big talking points from Croatia 0-7 England to Haaland's injury scare, and what our data says about first-half goals in international football.
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Predictions · Oct 5Soccer Predictions for Monday, October 5: First-Half Goals, Top Picks & Best Bets
Model predictions for Monday, October 5: first-half goal ratings for 100 matches including Bermuda v Barbados, Cuba v St. Kitts and Nevis, Romania v Sweden, plus our top picks and match winners.
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News · Oct 5Soccer News & Results Roundup: Sunday, October 4
The day in soccer for Sunday, October 4: Portugal boss says door open for Ronaldo return. 751 results from our database, 73% with a first-half goal, and how our model's picks did.
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Live betting · Oct 40-0 at 20 Minutes: Why We Don't Panic (or Jump In Blind)
How a goalless first 20 minutes changes a first-half goal bet, and the live signals that turn it back into a strong spot.
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Model signals · Oct 4The Standings Gap: The Simplest Signal That Works
Why mismatches in the league table produce early goals, and how the model uses the standings gap.
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The model · Oct 4How We Rate Every Match for a First-Half Goal
The building blocks behind the Soccer Expert first-half goal rating.
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