1. Every match gets a rating
Each day the model pulls in the full fixture list — often thousands of matches across hundreds of leagues — with team form, first-half and full-time scoring, expected goals, league standings and head-to-head history. From that it estimates how many goals each side is likely to score, half by half, and turns it into a probability for every market we cover.
What goes into it
- Recent scoring form — goals for and against, split by half, home and away.
- Expected goals — what each matchup should produce, not just what happened last week.
- The standings gap — mismatches between a top side and a struggling one are one of the most reliable signals we have found.
- Head-to-head and league trends — some leagues and some pairings simply produce more early goals.
- Shot and corner form — shown alongside every match so you can see when the volume backs up the numbers.
2. Live games are watched for you
A 0-0 at 20 minutes is not the time to give up on a first-half goal — but it isn't automatically a bet either. Through the first half the model follows shots, shots on target, corners and pressure in every covered match that started with a strong rating. When a game is still level at 20 minutes or later and the action backs it up, it becomes a Live Hot Pick.
3. Every pick is logged and graded
Picks are saved with a timestamp when they are published and graded automatically from the final score. That record is what you see on the Results page — wins and losses, day by day.
4. You decide when to get in
The dashboard shows the rating, the signals and the market price side by side. Many members wait for the price they want — especially on live picks, where odds move quickly in the first half.