1128 matches, one model. These are our first-half goal ratings and best picks for Sunday, October 11 — with the reasoning behind the strongest spots.
How to read the ratings
Each number is the chance of at least one goal before half-time. The model builds it from both teams' first-half scoring and conceding, the competition's own scoring rate, head-to-head history and the gap between the sides in the league table, then blends in the bookmakers' view where they price the line. As a guide, 78%+ is a strong spot, 70–77% is solid, and the low 60s are games where a goalless first half is a real possibility. All times are Eastern.
Headline matches
| Match | Competition | 1H goal | Model | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC 1:00 AM | K League 1 | 70% | 70% | – |
| JEF United Chiba v V-varen Nagasaki 1:00 AM | J1 League | 67% | 67% | – |
| Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse 2:00 AM | J1 League | 63% | 63% | – |
| Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:00 AM | J1 League | 73% | 73% | – |
| Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus 3:00 AM | J1 League | 71% | 71% | – |
| Utrecht v Willem II 6:15 AM | Eredivisie | 73% | 73% | – |
| como v AS Roma 6:30 AM | Serie A | 80% | 80% | – |
| Konyaspor v Başakşehir 6:30 AM | Süper Lig | 70% | 70% | – |
| Motherwell v Celtic 7:00 AM | Premiership | 80% | 80% | – |
| Southampton v Portsmouth 7:00 AM | Championship | 73% | 73% | – |
| Güímar v Hortaleza 7:00 AM | Copa del Rey | 70% | 70% | – |
| Standard Liege v Charleroi 7:30 AM | Jupiler Pro League | 75% | 75% | – |
| Vfl Bochum v Arminia Bielefeld 7:30 AM | 2. Bundesliga | 77% | 77% | – |
| Hertha Berlin v SpVgg Greuther Furth 7:30 AM | 2. Bundesliga | 84% | 84% | – |
| FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC 7:30 AM | 2. Bundesliga | 74% | 74% | – |
| Hammarby FF v Djurgardens IF 8:00 AM | Allsvenskan | 67% | 67% | – |
| Randers FC v Viborg 8:00 AM | Superliga | 76% | 76% | – |
| Silkeborg v AC Horsens 8:00 AM | Superliga | 71% | 71% | – |
| Grasshoppers v BSC Young Boys 8:00 AM | Super League | 84% | 84% | – |
| FC Andorra v Castellón 8:00 AM | Segunda División | 72% | 72% | – |
| Elche v Celta Vigo 8:00 AM | La Liga | 70% | 70% | – |
| Fredrikstad v Tromso 8:30 AM | Eliteserien | 77% | 77% | – |
| Telstar v ADO Den Haag 8:30 AM | Eredivisie | 73% | 73% | – |
| PEC Zwolle v Cambuur 8:30 AM | Eredivisie | 76% | 76% | – |
| SCR Altach v Wolfsberger AC 8:30 AM | Bundesliga | 77% | 77% | – |
| TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau 8:30 AM | Bundesliga | 73% | 73% | – |
| Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź 8:45 AM | Ekstraklasa | 70% | 70% | – |
| Lazio v Monza 9:00 AM | Serie A | 81% | 81% | – |
| Lecce v Bologna 9:00 AM | Serie A | 72% | 72% | – |
| Nice v Strasbourg 9:00 AM | Ligue 1 | 70% | 70% | – |
Strongest first-half goal spots
A rating near 80% still means roughly one game in five stays goalless until half-time — these are strong spots, not certainties.
Games to avoid for an early goal
Catch up on today's results and headlines in our news and results roundup. New to live betting? Read what we do when a game is 0-0 at 20 minutes.
Ratings generated automatically by The Soccer Expert model and may change with team news and prices. Picks are opinions for information and entertainment, not guarantees. 21+. Please bet responsibly.